NEW DELHI, Aug 5, 2012 (AFP) - Every evening
before Indian executive Sushmita Rao leaves her Delhi office, she phones her maid to switch on
the air conditioner so her apartment is refreshingly cool when she reaches home.
"I work in an air-conditioned office
and I suffocate if my place isn't cool," said Rao, one of hundreds of millions
of Indians who went without electricity last week in the world's worst-ever
blackout.
The monster grid failure was blamed
on greedy states consuming more than their allotted power quotas as they sought
to meet spikes in demand.
Part of the demand surge comes from
Indians' adopting electricity-guzzling lifestyles which adds to the strain on
the grid from industrial users and businesses in Asia's third-largest economy.
"As India's middle class broadens,
there's a heavier burden on energy demand as people buy appliances for a better
quality of life," Will Pearson, global energy analyst at London-based Eurasia
Group, told AFP.
Experts warn blackouts like those
that knocked out power to one half of India's 1.2 population last Monday
and Tuesday, could be the way of the future unless the government fixes the
creaking electricity sector.
"We're growing through a major
societal transformation... we will need more and more power to fuel our
industries, consumer goods, our malls, our offices," said Arvind Singhal,
chairman of leading retail consultancy Technopak.
"Unless planners recognise this,
we're going to see many more failures on the scale of the ones we saw."
There are 470 million people in what
global consultancy PwC calls the "emerging middle class" -- those sandwiched
between the lowest income group and the middle class.
Though they earn modest sums,
collectively they have large purchasing power, PwC says.
The middle class numbers 160 million
according to India's National Council for Applied Economic Research -- bigger
than the populations of Russia or Japan -- and is seen rising to 267 million by
2016.
Air conditioners, microwave ovens,
toasters and washing machines are possessions that distinguish
India's upwardly mobile and have
become increasingly available and affordable since pro-market reforms of the
1990s.
Consumer attitudes in India to air
conditioners have "witnessed a paradigm shift" in recent years from luxury
product to domestic necessity, consultancy TechSci noted, forecasting the AC
market will expand annually by 14 percent for the next five years.
Indian summers see the mercury rise
above 50 degrees Centigrade (122 degrees Fahrenheit) in many areas, and these
are followed by the sticky, humid monsoon season.
Ad manager Rao is one of an
increasing number of Indians who work in air-conditioned offices, shop in
air-conditioned malls and dine in air-conditioned restaurants.
Rao, who lives alone, says she has a
washing machine -- "it's easier for my maid" -- two TVs, air conditioners in
every room, an entertainment system, laptop, hairdryer and a host of other
electronic devices. "I use a lot of electricity but it's
my lifestyle -- I like to be comfortable," she says.
She's not alone in her assortment of
appliances.
"I have everything my parents didn't
have," said Sheila Krishna, wife of a government bureaucrat.
Experts say last week's blackouts
served to focus minds on how India will meet the fast-growing
needs of its citizens, industry and businesses.
The power failure was "a wake-up
call", says Technopak's Singhal. "This country already has 900 million mobile
phones -- it sounds like a small thing -- but these all need to be charged every
day."
Power cuts are a daily occurrence in
India which runs a peak-hour
electricity shortfall of around 12 percent -- despite the fact that about a
third of Indians have no connection to the grid.
As of 2009, just 66.3 percent of
Indians had access to electricity, compared with 98.3 percent for
Brazil and 99.4 percent for
China, according to the latest World
Development Indicators.
"It is
imperative our basic infrastructure requirements are in keeping with
India's aspirations," said Chandrajit
Banerjee, director general of the Confederation of Indian Industry.
1 commentaire:
Est-ce qu'on ferait pas mieux de chercher à réduire la consommation plutôt que de chercher de nouvelles sources d'approvisionnement ?
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